WEEKLY UPDATE ... 22ND JUNE 2012 ... 1515 BST
An early update this week as I have places to go and people to upset this weekend
The last week has been very nice for Tobago and the south east Caribbean and I am confident that this will continue into next week. A Tropical Wave is due to arrive around Monday/Tuesday but this is embedded in dry air and should only pep up any localised showers as it passes through.
Elsewhere in the Caribbean it has not been pretty with the Tropiucal Wave that affected Tobago the week before producing very heavy rain in the central Caribbean and now Mexico and Cuba ... some places are getting a thorough drenching and there are signs that this disturbed area of weather could produce 'Debby' ... the first named Storm to form in the Caribbean this year.
Of course, the last week also saw the 3rd named storm and first Hurricane 'Chris' form way out in the mid Atlantic. Chris is now falling apart so no concerns.
It reminds me that I should start up the 'Hurricane 2013' thread !!
So to sum up ... bad weather in the west and central areas of the Caribbean with the risk of Storm formation this weekend into next week near Mexico ... good weather to the eastern Caribbean with a chance of increased showers around Monday.