Tropical downpour

Weather & Climate

Located just 11° north of the equator, Tobago enjoys a tropical climate with bright sunshine all year round. The average daytime temperature is 29°C (83°F), with normal maximums in the low to mid-30s. The northeast trade winds cool the island so effectively that air-conditioning is often not the critical essential that visitors might imagine. In fact, air-conditioning is the exception rather than the rule in older properties as their location was invariably chosen to take maximum advantage of the prevailing winds.

Tobago has two seasons. The Dry Season runs between December and May and is normally dry and sunny, although rain can be experienced, particulary overnight and just before dawn. The Wet Season is sometimes known as the Hurricane Season and runs between June and November. Although temperatures are fairly consistent throughout the year, changes in the direction and strength of the winds make the summer months feel hotter than the winter months.

Tobago lies outside the main hurricane belt. Hurricanes do not form at latitudes lower than 10 degrees north or south. Tobago also has fewer autumn storms than the more northerly islands. Prior to Hurricane Flora in 1963, Tobago hadn't experienced a hurricane for a hundred years. Hurricane Ivan, in 2004, uprooted a few trees but caused no major structural damage on the island. All the Caribbean islands to the north of Tobago have regular storms and hurricanes.

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Temperature (°C) 29 30 31 31 31 30 31 31 31 31 31 29
Temperature (°F) 85 86 87 88 88 86 87 88 88 87 87 85
Sunshine 7 8 8 8 8 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
Rainfall (mm) 71 43 31 46 112 254 249 239 183 178 198 147
Rainfall (inches) 2.8 1.7 1.2 1.8 4.4 10 9.8 9.4 7.2 7.0 7.8 5.8

We extend our deepest gratitude to Paul Tallet, a regular visitor to Tobago, for his weekly weather forecasts. Paul is an amateur weather enthusiast who does his best to provide a simple guide to the Tobago weather outlook each week. It is therefore only fair to state the disclaimer that neither Paul, nor this website, can guarantee the accuracy of these weather reports.

Tobago lies outside the main hurricane belt, so hurricanes are not a major issue, normally. However, hurricanes further north can affect the island. So, Paul also provides regular warning and updates on impending storm conditions.

Normal weather reports will be found in the Liquid Sunshine topic of our forum. Hurricane warnings can be found in the Hurricane Season topic of the forum. The most recent updates are provided below.

Current Weather

Sunday, 11 November 2018, 5:29pm


It seems that an active week lies ahead for the Caribbean with a procession of tropical waves on the way and a small disturbance is just ahead of the first wave (I will post on this later in the 2018 Hurricane forum).

The pressure gradients are also expected to tighten from the middle of the coming week and this will bring heavy surf to some areas, particularly along the southern areas of the Caribbean.

For Tobago the weather could be quite unsettled from time to time as these tropical waves pass from the Atlantic side and into the Caribbean Sea.

Expect sunny weather in between. The first tropical wave should arrive late Monday.

Hurricane Forecast

Sunday, 11 November 2018, 5:38pm


A vigorous tropical wave will arrive across the Windward Islands by late Monday. There is a disturbance associated with this Wave that the NHC are issuing advisories on, giving a 50% chance of development into a tropical storm within the next 5 days.

The disturbance is likely to move north east maybe just brushing the northernmost Leeward Islands and posing a threat to the Bahamas and possibly Puerto Rico.

I am hoping that this is the last spike of energy for the 2018 Hurricane season that ends on 30th November ... but all interests in the Caribbean should remain vigilant to the end.

I will post updates should this disturbance maintain a threat.