Tropical downpour

Weather & Climate

Located just 11° north of the equator, Tobago enjoys a tropical climate with bright sunshine all year round. The average daytime temperature is 29°C (83°F), with normal maximums in the low to mid-30s. The northeast trade winds cool the island so effectively that air-conditioning is often not the critical essential that visitors might imagine. In fact, air-conditioning is the exception rather than the rule in older properties as their location was invariably chosen to take maximum advantage of the prevailing winds.

Tobago has two seasons. The Dry Season runs between December and May and is normally dry and sunny, although rain can be experienced, particulary overnight and just before dawn. The Wet Season is sometimes known as the Hurricane Season and runs between June and November. Although temperatures are fairly consistent throughout the year, changes in the direction and strength of the winds make the summer months feel hotter than the winter months.

Tobago lies outside the main hurricane belt. Hurricanes do not form at latitudes lower than 10 degrees north or south. Tobago also has fewer autumn storms than the more northerly islands. Prior to Hurricane Flora in 1963, Tobago hadn't experienced a hurricane for a hundred years. Hurricane Ivan, in 2004, uprooted a few trees but caused no major structural damage on the island. All the Caribbean islands to the north of Tobago have regular storms and hurricanes.

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Temperature (°C) 29 30 31 31 31 30 31 31 31 31 31 29
Temperature (°F) 85 86 87 88 88 86 87 88 88 87 87 85
Sunshine 7 8 8 8 8 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
Rainfall (mm) 71 43 31 46 112 254 249 239 183 178 198 147
Rainfall (inches) 2.8 1.7 1.2 1.8 4.4 10 9.8 9.4 7.2 7.0 7.8 5.8

We extend our deepest gratitude to Paul Tallet, a regular visitor to Tobago, for his weekly weather forecasts. Paul is an amateur weather enthusiast who does his best to provide a simple guide to the Tobago weather outlook each week. It is therefore only fair to state the disclaimer that neither Paul, nor this website, can guarantee the accuracy of these weather reports.

Tobago lies outside the main hurricane belt, so hurricanes are not a major issue, normally. However, hurricanes further north can affect the island. So, Paul also provides regular warning and updates on impending storm conditions.

Normal weather reports will be found in the Liquid Sunshine topic of our forum. Hurricane warnings can be found in the Hurricane Season topic of the forum. The most recent updates are provided below.

Current Weather

Tuesday, 15 January 2019, 7:54pm


I am sorry that I did not post on Sunday as I usually do ... I decided to make a last minute trip to my favourite place on the Saturday and this mean't that Sunday was a '100% packing and loads of stress' day before the horrid flight home ... no disrespect to Thomas Cook who were fantastic but flights home are pretty awful through no fault of Thomas Cook ... oh and we did the Barbados thing but it was ok (we prepared for it).

Over the 4 weeks I was in Tobago it was generally sizzling sunshine. I thought last year was good but this year was incredible and, perhaps, defines what they call the 'dry season'.

There was rain but not much of it ... perhaps last Friday was the rainiest but it was showers.

Ther situation has not changed with a dense saharan dust layer which will restrict rainfall and this applies, not just to Tobago, to most of the Caribbean.

When I arrived, Tobago was green and lush but when I left it started to look a little brown and dry.

Enjoy it but be careful of the sun, even I got a little burnt this year and that is probably the first time since I was a child.

Hurricane Forecast

Sunday, 25 November 2018, 9:19pm


I think we are done but I don't want to tempt fate.

The NHC has been issuing advisories on a disturbance south of Bermuda for most of last week giving it a 0% chance of development.

So why should I report on it?

I didn't, but I am now because this disturbance has significant energy and it was only the hostile conditions in the northern Caribbean that prevented a Tropical Storm from forming.

I have been watching the weather models and a number of elements are conspiring to bring this disturbance to the UK and northern Europe as a significant weather event from late Tuesday and through to Friday.

The tropics have definitely calmed down but the weather across the more temperate zones has been blocked and, to some extent, showing signs of retrogression which basically means that the weather is moving in the opposite of it's normal direction.

This Storm is a game-changer and will have the power and momentum to crash through the blocked weather in the north Atlantic and bring a deeply unsettled period of weather to northern Europe. Please note that the weather models are changing every day and a miniscule change in the daily forecast runs can bring wide variations in the longer term outcome ... yesterday's models looked very grim for the UK but today's models have indicated a less intense Storm, albeit more lengthy and slower moving.

It will be a powerful storm, bringing tropical energy into a cold zone ... expect the Met Office to begin issuing warnings soon, if they have not already done so.