We extend our deepest gratitude to Paul Tallet, a regular visitor to Tobago, for his weekly weather forecasts. Paul is an amateur weather enthusiast who does his best to provide a simple guide to the Tobago weather outlook each week. It is therefore only fair to state the disclaimer that neither Paul, nor this website, can guarantee the accuracy of these weather reports.
Tobago lies outside the main hurricane belt, so hurricanes are not a major issue, normally. However, hurricanes further north can affect the island. So, Paul also provides regular warning and updates on impending storm conditions.
Normal weather reports will be found in the Liquid Sunshine topic of our forum. Hurricane warnings can be found in the Hurricane Season topic of the forum. The most recent updates are provided below.
Monday, 17 September 2018, 3:20pm
Thanks for the kind words and glad you like it. I am still frantically trying to sort all the updates from Tobago business owners, following our 'soft' release at the end of last week. Various technical tweaks to make - and then a full public announcement at the end of this week or thereabouts. In the meantime, keep up the good work yourself.
Wednesday, 19 September 2018, 10:45pm
SOMETHING FROM NOTHING?
The Atlantic tropics have died down as expected but there is a little disturbance in the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) about 900 miles east of Tobago. The NHC are issuing advisories but only rates development chances at 10%.
The ITCZ is currently rather lively and at this time of year, the earth's tilt has the ITCZ spanning around the zero degree (equator) point which means that Tobago is just 10 degrees north of the ITCZ. It is rare for storms to develop from the ITCZ, so I am not getting excited about the new disturbance but the unsettled weather for Tobago could continue for longer than I predicted in last Sunday's Liquid Sunshine post.
Hurricane Florence's remnants have emerged off the north east coast of the US and Canada and there seems to be a chance of further development but, as yet, nothing of concern.
Hurricane Helene proved not to be the storm the UK Met Office expected and the warnings were cancelled on Thursday morning, however there was a very warm breeze. This warm air probably energized Storm Ali that hit the UK today quite hard and brought several fatalities. The UK Met Office predicted this perfectly and there are more storms to come for the UK over the next week. The Dahlias are all standing to attention although the hanging baskets had to be brought down.
I don't expect anything significant in the tropical Atlantic for a couple of weeks but the energy is building, particularly in the western Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico ... for now I would watch the ITCZ because this can produce a rain event for Tobago and around the south and south east Caribbean ... the risks of this are quite high over the next 7 to 10 days.