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Tropical downpour
 

Weather & Climate

Located just 11° north of the equator, Tobago enjoys a tropical climate with bright sunshine all year round. The average daytime temperature is 29°C (83°F), with normal maximums in the low to mid-30s. The northeast trade winds cool the island so effectively that air-conditioning is often not the critical essential that visitors might imagine. In fact, air-conditioning is the exception rather than the rule in older properties as their location was invariably chosen to take maximum advantage of the prevailing winds.

Tobago has two seasons. The Dry Season runs between December and May and is normally dry and sunny, although rain can be experienced, particulary overnight and just before dawn. The Wet Season is sometimes known as the Hurricane Season and runs between June and November. Although temperatures are fairly consistent throughout the year, changes in the direction and strength of the winds make the summer months feel hotter than the winter months.

Tobago lies outside the main hurricane belt. Hurricanes do not form at latitudes lower than 10 degrees north or south. Tobago also has fewer autumn storms than the more northerly islands. Prior to Hurricane Flora in 1963, Tobago hadn't experienced a hurricane for a hundred years. Hurricane Ivan, in 2004, uprooted a few trees but caused no major structural damage on the island. All the Caribbean islands to the north of Tobago have regular storms and hurricanes.

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Temperature (°C) 29 30 31 31 31 30 31 31 31 31 31 29
Temperature (°F) 85 86 87 88 88 86 87 88 88 87 87 85
Sunshine 7 8 8 8 8 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
Rainfall (mm) 71 43 31 46 112 254 249 239 183 178 198 147
Rainfall (inches) 2.8 1.7 1.2 1.8 4.4 10 9.8 9.4 7.2 7.0 7.8 5.8

We extend our deepest gratitude to Paul Tallet, a regular visitor to Tobago, for his weekly weather forecasts. Paul is an amateur weather enthusiast who does his best to provide a simple guide to the Tobago weather outlook each week. It is therefore only fair to state the disclaimer that neither Paul, nor this website, can guarantee the accuracy of these weather reports.

Tobago lies outside the main hurricane belt, so hurricanes are not a major issue, normally. However, hurricanes further north can affect the island. So, Paul also provides regular warning and updates on impending storm conditions.

Normal weather reports will be found in the Liquid Sunshine topic of our forum. Hurricane warnings can be found in the Hurricane Season topic of the forum. The most recent updates are provided below.

Current Weather

Sunday, 10 November 2019, 11:51am

WEATHER FOR THE WEEIK AHEAD ... 10TH NOVEMBER 2019

I am seeing an improvement in Tobago's weather this week, but not without one or two potential disruptions.

There is very strong westerly shear over the south east Caribbean and this is limiting the intensity of the rains but not completely snuffing the rain clouds out.

One tropical wave should reach Tobago by late Monday ... after this it is looking a little calmer with moderating seas. There is a large mass of rainclouds in the mid-tropical Atlantic but this is very disorganised and not associated with any weather system and unlikely to bring anything significant to Tobago.

So the week ahead brings the highest risk of rain on Monday / Tuesday and, after this, the rain risk decreases or, at least, there should be more sunshine.

Hurricane Forecast

Thursday, 7 November 2019, 8:27pm

A short break before the next tropical wave moves in ... by Saturday. And this one is bringing the ITCZ with it too.